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ILO / WESO TRENDS 2021
STORY: ILO / WESO TRENDS 2021
TRT: 2:44
SOURCE: ILO
RESTRICTIONS: NONE
LANGUAGE: ENGLISH / NATS
DATELINE: 02 JUNE 2021, GENEVA, SWITZERLAND
1.Wide shot, general views of ILO room where Guy Ryder, ILO Director-General and Richard Samans, Director, ILO Research Department are filmed for virtual press conference, ILO headquarters, Geneva, Switzerland.
2. SOUNDBITE (English) Guy Ryder, ILO Director-General:
“What our report does is to set out in quite detailed terms, what COVID 19 has done to people's working lives in the course of 2020, and it's been a dramatic story. We know that. And then, and I think this is perhaps more important at the current moment, look forward for the next couple of years, 2021, 2022 saying, well, at the time when we're thinking about recovery, well, what really does this recovery look like? And what does it mean for jobs and livelihoods? And there, and I think we've done it in a quite detailed and convincing way, there's a lot to worry about. Because the first thing to say is that even on a optimistic scenario, the build-back over the next year and a half until the end of 2022 is simply not on current trends going to restore the damage done by the pandemic. We'll still fall short by a large number of jobs, 23 million jobs in all likelihood. That's the first thing to worry about.”
3. Wide shot, press conference
4. SOUNDBITE (English) Guy Ryder, ILO Director-General:
“The second thing to worry about. And it's perhaps even more important, is the unevenness of the impact that the that the pandemic has had. It's hit the most disadvantaged, the most vulnerable, in countries and between countries. So what we're seeing is that the bounce back in labour markets. already apparent in some parts of the world, that's going to be stronger and better in the high-income countries. Why? Because they've got better access to vaccines and are therefore able to open up more quickly, but also because they got more resources, they're richer countries. So the fiscal space, as we say, to support people and to support Enterprises, to stimulate the economy, is that much greater. Whilst for the low-income countries, of course, they're disadvantaged in this regard. So contrary to what we saw, for example back in the financial crisis, this is a recovery process that runs the risk, unless we take the right action, of making existing inequalities in the world of work, and they're very, very big inequalities, even worse. And we have to have a different way, a different trajectory of recovery, what we call a human centred recovery so that we don't see this increase in inequality. We need something which leaves nobody behind and provides greater equity of advantage in the world of work.”
7. Wide shot, press briefing room
The labour market crisis created by the COVID-19 pandemic is far from over, and employment growth will be insufficient to make up for the losses suffered until at least 2023, according to a new assessment by the International Labour Organization (ILO).
The ILO’s World Employment and Social Outlook: Trends 2021, (WESO Trends) projects the global crisis-induced ‘jobs gap’ will reach 75 million in 2021, before falling to 23 million in 2022. The related gap in working-hours, which includes the jobs gap and those on reduced hours, amounts to the equivalent of 100 million full-time jobs in 2021 and 26 million full-time jobs in 2022. This shortfall in employment and working hours comes on top of persistently high pre-crisis levels of unemployment, labour underutilization and poor working conditions.
SOUNDBITE (English) Guy Ryder, ILO Director-General:
“What our report does is to set out in quite detailed terms, what COVID 19 has done to people's working lives in the course of 2020, and it's been a dramatic story. We know that. And then, and I think this is perhaps more important at the current moment, look forward for the next couple of years, 2021, 2022 saying, well, at the time when we're thinking about recovery, well, what really does this recovery look like? And what does it mean for jobs and livelihoods?” “And there, and I think we've done it in a quite detailed and convincing way, there's a lot to worry about. Because the first thing to say is that even on a optimistic scenario, the build-back over the next year and a half until the end of 2022 is simply not on current trends going to restore the damage done by the pandemic. We'll still fall short by a large number of jobs, 23 million jobs in all likelihood. That's the first thing to worry about.”
SOUNDBITE (English) Guy Ryder, ILO Director-General:
“The second thing to worry about. And it's perhaps even more important, is the unevenness of the impact that the that the pandemic has had. It's hit the most disadvantaged, the most vulnerable, in countries and between countries. So what we're seeing is that the bounce back in labour markets. already apparent in some parts of the world, that's going to be stronger and better in the high-income countries.” “Why? Because they've got better access to vaccines and are therefore able to open up more quickly, but also because they got more resources, they're richer countries. So the fiscal space, as we say, to support people and to support Enterprises, to stimulate the economy, is that much greater. Whilst for the low-income countries, of course, they're disadvantaged in this regard. So contrary to what we saw, for example back in the financial crisis, this is a recovery process that runs the risk, unless we take the right action, of making existing inequalities in the world of work, and they're very, very big inequalities, even worse. And we have to have a different way, a different trajectory of recovery, what we call a human centred recovery so that we don't see this increase in inequality. We need something which leaves nobody behind and provides greater equity of advantage in the world of work.”
In consequence, global unemployment is expected to stand at 205 million people in 2022, greatly surpassing the level of 187 million in 2019. This corresponds to an unemployment rate of 5.7 per cent. Excluding the COVID-19 crisis period, such a rate was last seen in 2013.
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