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WASHINGTON / WORLD BANK ON CLIMATE CHANGE

Regular food shortages in Sub-Saharan Africa, shifting rain patterns in South Asia leaving some parts under water and others without enough water for power generation, irrigation, or drinking, degradation and loss of reefs in South East Asia resulting in reduced fish stocks and coastal communities and cities more vulnerable to increasingly violent storms, these are but a few of the likely impacts of a possible global temperature rise of 2 degrees Celsius  in the next few decades  that threatens to trap millions of people in poverty, according to a new scientific report released today by the World Bank Group. WORLD BANK
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STORY: WASHINGTON / WORLD BANK ON CLIMATE CHANGE
TRT: 2.43
SOURCE: WORLD BANK
RESTRICTIONS: NONE
LANGUAGE: ENGLISH / NATS

DATELINE: 19 JUNE 2013, WASHINGTON, DC / FILE

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Shotlist

FILE – 2012, WASHINGTON, DC

1. Pan right, World Bank building exterior
2. Close up, rack focus of World Bank sign

19 JUNE 2013, WASHINGTON, DC

3. SOUNDBITE (English) Jim Yong Kim, President, World Bank Group:
“In a 2 degrees Celsius warmer world, the earth will have fundamentally changed. The way that the earth processes water will have changed. So we will have droughts that will be devastating, we will have floods that will put cities in danger. And there will be fundamental issues around the ability of poor people to sustain themselves. The thing I worry most about, is a 2 degrees Celsius which could upon us as early as the 2030s-2040s, will prevent us from lifting people out of poverty. And our goal of ending poverty by 2030 will be out of reach.”

FILE – 2007, NIGER

4. Pan right, desert
5. Wide shot, woman walking in front of home
6. Med shot, woman hacking in dry field
7. Close up, woman hacking in dry field

19 JUNE 2013, WASHINGTON, DC

8. SOUNDBITE (English) Jim Yong Kim, President, World Bank Group:
“I am very concerned about the impact of a 2 degree Celsius warmer world on Africa. You know by the 2030s, we can see a situation where extreme heat and drought could leave 40 percent of the land that’s currently used in growing maize, incapable of growing maize. Furthermore, the extreme heat is going to destroy the savannah grasslands that are supporting pastoral livelihoods.”

FILE – 2011, BANGLADESH

9. Pan left, flooded building
10. Wide shot, raining near home and field

19 JUNE 2013, WASHINGTON, DC

11. SOUNDBITE (English) Jim Yong Kim, President, World Bank Group:
“In South Asia, shifting rain patterns can leave some cities under water and others without enough water for power generation agriculture and even for drinking. You know the extreme flooding that affected Pakistan in 2010, that affected 20 million people, could become common place. Shifting rain patterns with drought and flooding in India could once again put millions and millions of people at risk for famine.”

FILE – 2011, BANGLADESH

12. Pan right of flooded lake near home
13. Wide shot, road with bicycles and pedestrians

19 JUNE 2013, WASHINGTON, DC

14. SOUNDBITE (English) Jim Yong Kim, President, World Bank Group:
“In Southeast Asia, we are very worried that rural livelihoods will be threatened as sea levels rise, tropical cyclones increase in intensity and marine ecosystems are lost. We think that cities, Bangkok, Ho Chi Minh City, Jakarta, and Manila will be especially threatened by the rising sea levels. There are some estimates that the fisheries for example, around the Philippines, could be reduced as much as 50%. With a loss of the coral reefs, tourism will go down.”

FILE – 2011, BANGLADESH

15. Wide shot, lake
16. Wide shot, raining on field

FILE – 2007, INDONESIA

17. Med shot, underwater footage of destroyed coral reef

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Storyline

Regular food shortages in Sub-Saharan Africa, shifting rain patterns in South Asia leaving some parts under water and others without enough water for power generation, irrigation, or drinking, degradation and loss of reefs in South East Asia resulting in reduced fish stocks and coastal communities and cities more vulnerable to increasingly violent storms, these are but a few of the likely impacts of a possible global temperature rise of 2 degrees Celsius in the next few decades that threatens to trap millions of people in poverty, according to a new scientific report released today by the World Bank Group.

SOUNDBITE (English) Jim Yong Kim, President, World Bank Group:
“In a 2 degrees Celsius warmer world, the earth will have fundamentally changed. The way that the earth processes water will have changed. So we will have droughts that will be devastating, we will have floods that will put cities in danger. And there will be fundamental issues around the ability of poor people to sustain themselves. The thing I worry most about, is a 2 degrees Celsius which could upon us as early as the 2030s-2040s, will prevent us from lifting people out of poverty. And our goal of ending poverty by 2030 will be out of reach.”

Turn Down the Heat: Climate Extremes, Regional Impacts, and the Case for Resilience builds on a World Bank report released late last year, which concluded the world would warm by 4 degrees Celsius (4°C or 7.2 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels by the end of this century if we did not take concerted action now. This new report looks at the likely impacts of present day, 2°C and 4°C warming on agricultural production, water resources, coastal ecosystems and cities across Sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia and South East Asia.

In Sub-Saharan Africa, by the 2030s droughts and heat will leave 40 percent of the land now growing maize unable to support that crop, while rising temperatures could cause major loss of savanna grasslands threatening pastoral livelihoods. By the 2050s, depending on the sub-region, the proportion of the population undernourished is projected to increase by 25-90 percent compared to the present.

SOUNDBITE (English) Jim Yong Kim, President, World Bank Group:
“I am very concerned about the impact of a 2 degree Celsius warmer world on Africa. You know by the 2030s, we can see a situation where extreme heat and drought could leave 40 percent of the land that’s currently used in growing maize, incapable of growing maize. Furthermore, the extreme heat is going to destroy the savannah grasslands that are supporting pastoral livelihoods.”

In South Asia, the potential change in the regularity and impact of the all-important monsoon could precipitate a major crisis in the region. Events like the devastating Pakistan floods of 2010, which affected more than 20 million people, could become common place. More extreme droughts in large parts of India could lead to widespread food shortages and hardship.

SOUNDBITE (English) Jim Yong Kim, President, World Bank Group:
“In South Asia, shifting rain patterns can leave some cities under water and others without enough water for power generation agriculture and even for drinking. You know the extreme flooding that affected Pakistan in 2010, that affected 20 million people, could become common place. Shifting rain patterns with drought and flooding in India could once again put millions and millions of people at risk for famine.”

Across South East Asia, rural livelihoods are faced with mounting pressures as sea levels rise, tropical cyclones increase in intensity, and important marine ecosystem services are lost as warming approaches 4°C. And across all the regions, the likely movement of impacted communities into urban areas could lead to ever higher numbers of people in informal settlements being exposed to heat waves, flooding, and diseases.

SOUNDBITE (English) Jim Yong Kim, President, World Bank Group:
“In Southeast Asia, we are very worried that rural livelihoods will be threatened as sea levels rise, tropical cyclones increase in intensity and marine ecosystems are lost. We think that cities, Bangkok, Ho Chi Minh City, Jakarta, and Manila will be especially threatened by the rising sea levels. There are some estimates that the fisheries for example, around the Philippines, could be reduced as much as 50%. With a loss of the coral reefs, tourism will go down.”

The report, prepared for the World Bank by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and Climate Analytics, reveals how rising global temperatures are increasingly threatening the health and livelihoods of the most vulnerable populations, crucially magnifying problems each region is struggling with today.

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